Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.649279 0.742982 0.844568 0.962767 1.096401 1.242685 1.414836
2025-02-09 0.497840 0.622972 0.770130 0.955490 1.182239 1.450069 1.789878
2025-02-16 0.387956 0.527542 0.704518 0.944234 1.259206 1.657548 2.197963
2025-02-23 0.309454 0.454806 0.652438 0.938686 1.340189 1.880393 2.658787
2025-03-02 0.250443 0.395900 0.606997 0.932308 1.416795 2.106450 3.155856
2025-03-09 0.210238 0.355644 0.579782 0.945438 1.520607 2.382197 3.759112
2025-03-16 0.173879 0.313769 0.542099 0.935141 1.585837 2.607915 4.317068
2025-03-23 0.150977 0.289213 0.527042 0.957043 1.702805 2.925488 5.055138
2025-03-30 0.127263 0.258380 0.495766 0.945758 1.761715 3.155183 5.677859
2025-04-06 0.111453 0.238898 0.480830 0.959935 1.864949 3.469215 6.477381
2025-04-13 0.093788 0.212203 0.447816 0.934985 1.892938 3.654042 7.071163
2025-04-20 0.085164 0.202313 0.445456 0.967955 2.032709 4.054255 8.096709
2025-04-27 0.078597 0.195859 0.449487 1.015352 2.209030 4.546880 9.359193
2025-05-04 0.069610 0.182158 0.436035 1.024411 2.309631 4.906600 10.409577
2025-05-11 0.061161 0.167983 0.419124 1.023286 2.388697 5.232747 11.431033
2025-05-18 0.054070 0.155668 0.404313 1.024409 2.472462 5.577597 12.528802
2025-05-25 0.047771 0.144047 0.389109 1.022105 2.547983 5.913221 13.643873
2025-06-01 0.043325 0.136488 0.382567 1.039479 2.670715 6.363657 15.053063
2025-06-08 0.038201 0.125868 0.366351 1.030194 2.728953 6.677638 16.195816
2025-06-15 0.035175 0.120768 0.363811 1.055496 2.874421 7.204504 17.871592
2025-06-22 0.031102 0.111517 0.348287 1.043969 2.926127 7.519166 19.091978
2025-06-29 0.028471 0.106280 0.343196 1.060086 3.050907 8.020610 20.802915
2025-07-06 0.024817 0.096757 0.323854 1.033047 3.058153 8.237036 21.851725